Million-dollar home sales slide in Sonoma County
Cynthia Wood, an agent with Sotheby's International Realty, shows the backyard of a house listed at $2 million on Lovall Valley Road in Sonoma.
JEFF KAN LEE/The Press DemocratPublished: Tuesday, February 9, 2010 at 7:16 p.m.
Last Modified: Tuesday, February 9, 2010 at 7:16 p.m.
Sonoma County last year recorded the lowest number of million-dollar home sales in eight years, though many high-end purchases still remain under the radar in Wine Country.
Facts
Sales slip
Sales of homes priced at $1 million or more tumbled 40 percent in Sonoma County last year. The number of sales has dropped 82 percent from its peak in 2005.
Year Sales
2000 90
2001 108
2002 137
2003 228
2004 453
2005 719
2006 614
2007 465
2008 216
2009 129
Source: MDA DataQuick
Buyers purchased 129 homes priced at $1 million or more in Sonoma County last year, down 40 percent from 2008, according to a new report by MDA DataQuick, a San Diego real estate research firm. It marked the fourth straight decline since 2005, when 719 million-dollar homes were sold.
So what does a million dollars buy? Statewide, the typical home sold in the million-plus market was 2,646 square feet, with 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms.
About four in five million-dollar homes sold for between $1 million and $2 million, said Andrew LePage, an analyst with MDA DataQuick.
What that means is that in the middle of the last decade, an inflationary real estate market briefly pushed the value of those properties above the $1 million milestone. But, LePage said, home prices then slid and in many cases the property values “fell right back down” below the magic mark.
LePage cautioned the data includes only those homes that were publicly reported with sales prices, and doesn't include all sales.
Last fall in Sonoma County, there was a 15-month supply of homes in the million-plus market, compared with just a two-month supply of homes priced under $400,000, according to a September report by Rick Laws of Coldwell Banker in Santa Rosa.
But Doug Swanson, a broker associate with Pacific Union International in Santa Rosa, said much of that inventory is sitting because of some perceived problem by buyers.
“In the upper end, where they're coming up here to buy in the Wine Country, they want quality,” Swanson said. In this market, he said, buyers look at any problem as a reason not to buy.
Swanson was one of a dozen agents and brokers from several firms that gathered Tuesday for the monthly meeting for specialists in luxury home sales. Those in attendance Tuesday shared the dream properties they were seeking for buyers — a horse farm, a farmhouse and places overlooking vineyards. The prices for both buyers and sellers ranged mostly between $1.5 million and $4 million.
The group later toured the unfinished estate of real estate investor Robert W. O'Neel III. Now in foreclosure, the 29-acre Shiloh Estates property north of Santa Rosa includes a main house of more than 14,000 square feet, plus a wine cave, 10-car garage, recreation barn, pool and tennis court area.
About $9 million already has been spent on the home's construction, and it still needs significant work to bring it to completion. The listing price is $3.5 million. Those owed money on the property included real estate investor Clem Carinalli and Nordby Signature Homes.
Agents at the lunch stressed that the luxury end of the market is stronger than the new sales data suggests. They said many high-end buyers will make sure their purchases aren't publicly reported.
“A lot of these never hit the MLS,” said Mary Anne Veldkamp, referring to the Multiple Listing Service that tracks home sales. Most of those buyers are looking for second homes in Wine Country and able to pay cash, said Veldkamp, who has the listing for the former O'Neel property.
Cynthia Wood, an agent in Sonoma with Sotheby's International Realty, agrees that the luxury market is stronger than the segment of homes selling for around $1 million.
But she noted Tuesday that the Sonoma Valley still had a 12-month supply of million-dollar homes. And if the economic downturn continues, more owners of such homes may find themselves pressured to sell.
“It is absolutely still a buyer's market,” Wood said.
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