So the U.S. Senate did the sensible thing last week and passed a bill allowing law-abiding immigrants who are here without papers to stay — and eventually become citizens. Whether the House follows suit may depend on whether Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, has finally had his fill of Washington’s most thankless job.
Seems to me it should be an easy call. Leading the House Republican majority is like trying to get a bunch of cats to do synchronized swimming. Surely Boehner’s gluttony for punishment has limits.
I say all this despite the fact that Boehner has already ruled out the simplest course of action, which would produce the best outcome for the nation and also boost the prospects of the Republican Party: Bring the Senate bill up for a vote.
Under the most likely scenario, Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-San Francisco, who has the whole cat-herding thing down pat, would deliver virtually the entire Democratic caucus in support. Most Republicans would vote no, but there should be enough defections to push the measure over the 218-vote threshold and send it to President Barack Obama for his signature.
Obama would be able to trumpet a centerpiece accomplishment for his second term. But the GOP would reap far greater political gain by sending a message to Latinos — the nation’s largest minority group — that’s different from the customary “Go away.” The Republican establishment is desperate to get immigration reform over and done with. The arithmetic is simple: In last year’s election, with Mitt Romney advocating “self-deportation” as a solution for the undocumented, Obama won 71 percent of the Latino vote and 73 percent of the Asian-American vote. If these fast-growing minority groups become as loyal to the Democratic Party as African-Americans are, the GOP’s ability to compete in national elections will be in serious doubt.