Grant Cohn: It's Panthers by a whisker

  • San Francisco 49ers head coach Jim Harbaugh, left, shakes hands with Carolina Panthers head coach Ron Rivera after an NFL football game in San Francisco, Sunday, Nov. 10, 2013. (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)

The Panthers started the season 1-3 and since then, their record is 11-1. The only game they lost was to the Saints in the Superdome, where the Saints were undefeated this season. So, the Panthers may be even hotter than the 49ers right now.

When these two teams played each other Week 10, the Panthers won by just one point and Michael Crabtree didn't play. But the Panthers beat up the 49ers, knocked out Vernon Davis and Eric Reid. Both the 49ers and Panthers want to beat up their opponent, and the Panthers did the beating in the first matchup.

That's significant, especially considering they played at Candlestick after the 49ers were coming off a bye week. The 49ers had an extra week to rest and prepare to play the Panthers at home, and the Niners still got beat up.

Now, the situation is reversed. The 49ers have to play in Carolina, and the Panthers are coming off a bye week. They're rested. The 49ers aren't. They played just a few days ago in the freezing cold. That will have an effect. Some players may still be sore.

No defense currently is tougher to face on their home field than the Panthers' defense. They've given up 12 points per game at home this season, best in the NFL. And they've given up six total touchdowns at home this season, fewer than a touchdown per game.

I predict Vernon Davis will score a touchdown against the Panthers -#8212; he's scored a touchdown in all but four games this season. But I don't think any other 49er will score.

Not Frank Gore -#8212; the Panthers have given up just four rushing touchdowns all season.

And not Anquan Boldin, and not Michael Crabtree. The Panthers' top three cornerbacks have allowed just one touchdown catch combined.

I am not predicting a blowout loss for the 49ers. If they lose, they're going to lose by no more than two or three points. The 49ers are too good and too proud to get blown out by any team in the playoffs.

I doubt the Panthers will score more than one touchdown, either. But I expect they will move the ball better than the 49ers.

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