After an unprecedented national campaign to enroll millions of Americans in health insurance plans, tens of thousands of North Bay residents have signed up for health coverage over the past six months.
Monday is the deadline to apply for subsidized private health insurance sold through Covered California, the state-run marketplace that opened for business on Oct. 1 to implement President Barack Obama's health care law. The deadline also applies to anyone buying private health insurance in the individual/family market.
But then, the next phase begins.
Insurance companies must process a surge of last-minute applications. Many newly insured people must still find a doctor who accepts their coverage. And doctors are bracing for new patients who already are filing into their offices.
While the program got off to a rocky start, the Affordable Care Act is already having an impact in the North Bay. Whether it is good or bad will be debated for months to come.
Six months after Covered California opened for business, more than 35,000 people in the North Bay - or 80 percent of the estimated 44,000 people eligible - have signed up for subsidized private insurance sold through the state insurance marketplace. The region includes Sonoma, Napa, Marin and Solano counties.
Additionally, in Sonoma County alone more than 9,000 people have obtained coverage directly from the government through an expansion of Medi-Cal, the state's version of the federal Medicaid program for low-income residents.
Overall, 1 million people in California - and 6 million people nationwide - are now in the pipeline awaiting their insurance cards.
Health care experts say such enrollment numbers are unprecedented in such a short period of time for an insurance industry that is more accustomed to gradual growth rather than seismic shifts such as the one brought on by the implementation of Obama's 4-year-old Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act.
And on the eve of Monday's deadline, many Californians, from health care officials to insurance brokers to the newly insured, anxiously await what comes next.
"In my 20 years of working in this business. I have not seen an enrollment wave of this size," said Rick Igram, senior vice president of development and contracting for St. Joseph Health in Sonoma County, which runs both Santa Rosa Memorial and Petaluma Valley hospitals.
Igram, who is responsible for contract negotiations with St. Joseph-affiliated physician groups and insurance companies such as Blue Shield and Western Health Advantage, said the "massive" enrollment figures represents a shock to a system not used to enrolling that many people at once.
Among this group, he said, are people who have had to drop their previous insurance plans because they no longer meet Obamacare requirements, as well as waves of people who've never had insurance and understand very little about it. Add to that the droves of Californians who have enrolled into Medi-Cal, and you begin to understand the type of stress being placed on the nation's health care system, he said.
It all culminates Monday, the deadline to sign up for subsidized health coverage, although Californians who start the application process by midnight Monday will have until April 15 to finish their applications.
Those who fail to meet the March 31 deadline or two-week extension will be unable to get health coverage in 2014 and could face a tax penalty. The next enrollment period for coverage in 2015 begins in November.
Special enrollment periods are available to those who experience a "life event," such as getting married, adding a dependent or moving to a different area where the available health plans are different.
Prior to the Affordable Care Act, there were no open-enrollment periods in the individual/family health insurance market. The new deadline now applies to all individual health plans sold, regardless of whether or not they are Covered California exchange plans.
Those who do not enroll could face an income tax penalty of $95 per person per year or 1 percent of income in 2014. Each year the tax becomes more onerous.
Affordable Care Act deadlines and changes do not directly affect most Americans. According to Kaiser Family Foundation, in 2012 only 5.8 percent of non-elderly Americans purchased health insurance in the individual market, while about 56 percent received coverage through their employer. Almost all elderly Americans are covered by Medicare.
About 21 percent were covered by Medicaid or some other form of government insurance. That left almost 18 percent of the population uninsured and either eligible for Obamacare's expanded Medicaid program or subsidized health insurance through the health exchanges.
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