1 IN 4 HOMES IN COUNTY SOLD AT A LOSS
One out of four homes sold in Sonoma County this year was sold at a loss,
reflecting the erosion in housing prices during the recession following a
dizzying run-up in prices during the 1980s.
The figure, though unchanged from last year, was well below the statewide
average of 31.6 percent, according to a report Friday by DataQuick Information
Services.
''We may find it shocking that three of 10 sellers lose money, but we need
to remember that it still means most people are making money,'' said Donald
Cohn, chief executive officer of the La Jolla real estate information service.
Among Sonoma County sellers, the median loss was $11,500 -equivalent to a
5.9 percent loss on the original purchase price, DataQuick reported. Actual
losses may be even higher with the inclusion of closing costs, commissions and
transfer fees.
The bulk of the losses involved homes purchased around 1990 when prices
were at their peak.
''Length of ownership is the key factor,'' DataQuick analyst John Karevoll
said.
People who made a profit on their homes purchased them in 1987, on average
-- a time when prices were still rising. People who lost money bought their
houses in 1990, on average, just before the onset of the recession.
The study found 24.4 percent of the homes sold in Sonoma County during the
first 10 months of the year were sold for less than the seller had paid. A
year ago, 24.5 percent of the homeowners who sold their houses took a loss.
Money-losing home sales peaked in 1993, when 30.1 percent of the home
sellers in Sonoma County lost money. The market was much better for sellers
only five years ago in the opening months of 1991, when just 4 percent of the
home sellers in Sonoma County lost money.
One important factor driving down prices was the flood of houses onto the
market this year, said John Favre, a real estate agent at Prudential
California Realty. A larger supply of houses has forced sellers to drop prices
in order to compete for buyer attention.
Although interest rates have dropped, it may not cause housing prices to
start rising if inventories continue to grow, Favre said.
''At this point, we are still talking about whether prices are going to
continue to erode. We are not talking about stable prices, let alone whether
they are going to go back up,'' Favre said.
Statewide, the figures suggest housing prices have stabilized in parts of
California that were much harder hit than Sonoma County during the downturn in
the real estate market. Loss sales fell to 31.6 percent during the first 10
months, down from 34.7 percent last year and a peak of 42.7 percent in
September 1993.
''A lot of homeowners have put off selling during the past few years
because of declining prices. So a higher percentage of the homes that were put
on the market were put there because the owner was under the gun to sell for
one reason or another. Many of these 'have-to-sell' situations resulted in a
loss,'' Cohn said.
Several factors are giving real estate agents hope the market may improve
in 1996, said Mike Kelly, president of the Sonoma County Association of
Realtors.
''I think there is a little light at the end of the tunnel,'' Kelly said.
''All the factors are there. We have low prices now. We have motivated
sellers. We have low interest rates, and we have what looks to be a robust
economy.''
The study was based on a computer analysis of home sales in each county. It
compared the sales price of each home sold this year with its prior purchase
price.
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