Donald Trump faces long odds in heavily Democratic Sonoma County and California

Based on statistical figures alone, Donald Trump is a long shot to win approval from California’s ?17 million registered voters in November.

Polls and political rhetoric aside, the lopsided Democratic advantage in registered voters statewide and in Sonoma County runs strongly against the real estate tycoon and former reality TV star, now the Republican Party’s presumptive nominee for president.

California’s 55 electoral college votes are the most by far - with Texas second at 38 votes - accounting for more than 10 percent of the 538 total in the college, the institution established in the U.S. Constitution that actually elects the chief executive.

California, like all but two of the 50 states, awards all of its electoral votes to the winner of the state’s popular vote. To do that, Trump would have to overcome the GOP’s whopping gap of nearly 2.8 million registered voters behind the Democrats, who have 44 percent of voters compared with 28 percent for Republicans.

In Sonoma County, 128,710 registered Democrats account for 52 percent of the electorate, outnumbering 50,411 Republicans (21 percent) by more than 2 to 1, according to the Secretary of State’s report on April 8. The gap has widened by about 5,000 voters since the last presidential election in 2012.

California has gone Democrat for president since 1992, when Bill Clinton denied George H. W. Bush a second term. In 1988, the state went for Bush over Democrat Michael Dukakis, who carried only 10 states and the District of Columbia.

Sonoma County voters last favored a Republican in 1984, when Ronald Reagan won his second presidential term in a landslide over Walter Mondale with 60 percent of the national vote and 51 percent of the county vote.

When George W. Bush edged John Kerry with less than 51 percent of the national vote in 2004, Kerry earned 67 percent of the vote in Sonoma County. Barack Obama had more than 70 percent of county votes in 2008 and 2012.

A Real Clear Politics average of multiple national polls on May 10 gave Hillary Clinton a 6.4 percent edge over Trump.