Grant Cohn: It's make-or-break time for ‘bubble' players on 49ers' preseason roster

The exhibition finale Thursday night against Chargers will be an important opportunity for 17 49ers players. Who should stay and who should go?|

Grant's Top 45

1. Brian Hoyer, QB

2. C.J. Beathard, QB

3. Carlos Hyde, RB

4. Matt Breida, RB

5. yle Juszczyk, FB

6. George Kittle, TE

7. Logan Paulsen, TE

8. Pierre Garcon, WR

9. Marquise Goodwin, WR

10. Jeremy Kerley, WR

11. Aldrick Robinson, WR

12. Trent Taylor, WR

13. Joe Staley, OL

14. Zane Beadles, OL

15. Daniel Kilgore, OL

16. Brandon Fusco, OL

17. Trent Brown, OL

18. Laken Tomlinson, OL

19. Tim Barnes, OL

20. Garry Gilliam, OL

21. DeForest Buckner, DL

22. Arik Armstead, DL

23. Solomon Thomas, DL

24. Earl Mitchell, DL

25. Tank Carradine, DL

26. Elvis Dumervil, DL

27. Aaron Lynch, DL

28. Eli Harold, LB

29. Dekoda Watson, LB

30. NaVorro Bowman, LB

31. Reuben Foster, LB

32. Ray Ray Armstrong, LB

33. Brock Coyle, LB

34. Rashard Robinson, CB

35. Dontae Johnson, CB

36. K'Wuan Williams, CB

37. Ahkello Witherspoon, CB

38. Keith Reaser, CB

39. Jimmie Ward, S

40. Eric Reid, S

41. Jaquiski Tartt, S

42. Lorenzo Jerome, S

43. Robbie Gould, K

44. Bradley Pinion, P

45. Kyle Nelson, LS

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Grant Cohn's Inside the 49ers blog

First order of business for the 49ers during tonight's preseason game against the Chargers: Don't play important players. The season starts a week from Sunday. Keep the starters healthy.

Second order of business: Make a list of the 45 best players on the roster, the players who definitely will make the team. These are the players the 49ers do not need to scrutinize in this game.

The box to the right my choices for the best 45 players on the roster, in no particular order.

Third order of business: Of the remaining 45 players on the 90-man roster, make a list of the guys who have legitimate chances to win one of the final eight spots on the 53-man roster. These are the 'bubble players' — the players the 49ers need to evaluate most in this game.

Here's my list of bubble players, in no particular order. And here's where they stand before tonight's game.

1. Matt Barkley, QB. Barkley is playing to prove the 49ers should keep him as the third quarterback. If they keep him, his $1.6 million salary for 2017 becomes guaranteed. That's a lot of money to pay a No. 3 QB. If Barkley doesn't play particularly well in this game, the Niners can cut him and feel confident no other team will sign him. If the Niners need Barkley later in the season, they can bring him back at a reduced rate.

2. Raheem Mostert, RB. You probably hadn't heard of Mostert before this year — he has played for five teams during his two-season career. But during this preseason, he has been the Niners' leading rusher (115 rushing yards), third-leading receiver (104 receiving yards) and starting kick returner. If the Niners cut him, another team almost certainly would sign him — especially if he plays well against the Chargers. Mostert has a good chance to make the Niners' final roster.

3. Joe Williams, RB. The Niners drafted Williams in the fourth round this year presumably to be the No. 2 running back. But Mostert and Matt Breida seem to have passed Williams on the depth chart, so Williams would be the No. 4 running back if he makes the team. Typically when a team keeps a fourth running back, that player is a key special-teams contributor, which Williams is not. That doesn't bode well for him. But, the Niners could keep Williams and make him one of their seven inactive players on game days, so they don't have to worry about having a backup who doesn't play special teams. Williams will need to play well against the Chargers to convince the Niners to make this accommodation for him.

4. Tim Hightower, RB. When the offseason began, Hightower seemed like a probable candidate to make the team, because he was only the running back on the roster who had played for Kyle Shanahan. Hightower's experience in Shanahan's running game gave him an edge. But he hurt his knee during training camp, and in the preseason he has negative 1 rushing yards. If the Niners cut him, they probably could bring him back later if they need him. It's doubtful another team would sign him.

5. Garrett Celek, TE. After trading Vance McDonald to the Steelers, the Niners have just two tight ends who definitely will make the team — George Kittle and Logan Paulsen. Two is not enough. If one were to get hurt during a game, the Niners no longer could use any of their plays featuring two tight ends. So, the Niners need a third tight end, and Celek is the favorite to win that position. He has been playing with the starters during the preseason and he's a good blocker, which is extremely important in Shanahan's run-first offense.

6. Cole Hikutini, TE. The undrafted rookie caught a lot of passes during training camp. But the Niners haven't thrown him any passes yet during the preseason games. If he gets shut out again during tonight's game, he probably will end up on the 49ers practice squad.

7. Kendrick Bourne, WR. This undrafted rookie has been the 49ers' second-leading receiver, and the NFL's 11th-leading receiver during the preseason. He seems good enough to make an NFL roster. If the Niners cut him, another team may sign him. Are the Niners willing to risk losing him? They might have to keep him if he has a big game against the Chargers.

8. Victor Bolden Jr., WR. Another undrafted rookie. Bolden won't make the team based on his ability to play wide receiver — he hasn't caught a pass in the preseason. But he has returned a kickoff 104 yards for a touchdown. Would the 49ers keep Bolden just to return kicks? That depends on how he plays tonight.

9. John Theus, OL. Theus is the 49ers' backup left tackle, which is an important position. But, the Niners already have three offensive tackles who probably will make the team — Joe Staley, Trent Brown and Garry Gilliam. Will the Niners keep a fourth offensive tackle?

11. Eric Magnuson, OL. Instead of keeping a fourth offensive tackle, the Niners could keep Magnuson, an undrafted rookie who plays center and guard. But Magnuson may not be a better player than Theus. Magnuson may be mere practice-squad material. He has to make a strong case for himself against the Chargers.

12. D.J. Jones, DL. Jones plays only one position — nose tackle. He's not versatile, which hurts his chances to win one of the final roster spots. Players at the bottom of the roster have to be versatile. But, the Niners used a sixth-round pick on Jones this year — they clearly want to develop him for the future. Will they cut him and risk losing him?

13. Pita Taumoepenu, DL/LB. Taumoepenu is another rookie sixth-round pick the Niners want to develop for the future. And he plays two positions — defensive end and outside linebacker. And he plays special teams. He has a good chance to make the team.

14. Chris Jones, DL. Chris Jones is a veteran defensive linemen who played with the starters in preseason when DeForest Buckner missed time with an ankle injury. You wouldn't think the Niners would cut someone who has played with the starters, but Jones plays only one position — defensive tackle — and he's not someone the Niners can develop for the future. They might cut him.

15. Quinton Dial, DL. Dial is another veteran defensive lineman with a limited future. But unlike Jones, Dial plays two positions — defensive tackle and nose tackle. Dial's versatility could help him beat out Jones for one of the final spots on the roster.

16. Adrian Colbert CB/S. Colbert is extremely versatile — he plays cornerback, safety and special teams. He is the kind of player a team wants to fill the 53rd spot on the team. But, he's a rookie seventh-round pick. The Niners may feel they can cut him and put him on their practice squad for a year.

17. Vinnie Sunseri, S. Sunseri is a veteran, journeyman safety — not someone who figures into the Niners' future plans. But he could help the Niners now, because he's good on special teams. He needs to play exceptionally well on special teams tonight to make the roster.

Keep your eyes on these 17 players tonight. The 49ers definitely will.

Grant's Top 45

1. Brian Hoyer, QB

2. C.J. Beathard, QB

3. Carlos Hyde, RB

4. Matt Breida, RB

5. yle Juszczyk, FB

6. George Kittle, TE

7. Logan Paulsen, TE

8. Pierre Garcon, WR

9. Marquise Goodwin, WR

10. Jeremy Kerley, WR

11. Aldrick Robinson, WR

12. Trent Taylor, WR

13. Joe Staley, OL

14. Zane Beadles, OL

15. Daniel Kilgore, OL

16. Brandon Fusco, OL

17. Trent Brown, OL

18. Laken Tomlinson, OL

19. Tim Barnes, OL

20. Garry Gilliam, OL

21. DeForest Buckner, DL

22. Arik Armstead, DL

23. Solomon Thomas, DL

24. Earl Mitchell, DL

25. Tank Carradine, DL

26. Elvis Dumervil, DL

27. Aaron Lynch, DL

28. Eli Harold, LB

29. Dekoda Watson, LB

30. NaVorro Bowman, LB

31. Reuben Foster, LB

32. Ray Ray Armstrong, LB

33. Brock Coyle, LB

34. Rashard Robinson, CB

35. Dontae Johnson, CB

36. K'Wuan Williams, CB

37. Ahkello Witherspoon, CB

38. Keith Reaser, CB

39. Jimmie Ward, S

40. Eric Reid, S

41. Jaquiski Tartt, S

42. Lorenzo Jerome, S

43. Robbie Gould, K

44. Bradley Pinion, P

45. Kyle Nelson, LS

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Grant Cohn's Inside the 49ers blog

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