The 49ers must win this game.
Kyle Shanahan must win this game.
The 49ers' season pretty much is over. Beating the Arizona Cardinals Sunday won’t change that. I fully expect the 49ers to win.
But if they lose, Shanahan will be on the hot seat. Yes, the hot seat. He must beat this awful team.
For now, he has excuses. You’ve heard them. Jimmy Garoppolo is out for the season. The 49ers have injuries. They’re rebuilding, and it’s only Year 2 of the process. Shanahan has a long-term plan.
Fair enough. But Shanahan may not get to his long-term plan if he doesn’t take care of short-term business.
The long-term plan did not consist of losing twice this season to the Arizona Cardinals. The long-term plan did not consist of losing almost every game without Garoppolo. The long-term plan did not involve the 49ers getting worse the longer Shanahan coaches.
He needs to win Sunday. Otherwise, the perception of him will change from a promising young head coach to a bad young head coach.
1. The Cardinals are terrible.
They’re in more turmoil than the 49ers.
The Cardinals have scored 13.1 points per game. They just fired their offensive coordinator, Mike McCoy, last week. They replaced him with former NFL quarterback Byron Leftwich, who never has been an offensive coordinator. He has to pick up the job running. And their rookie quarterback, Josh Rosen, is totally overwhelmed by the NFL. He’s worse than C.J. Beathard.
The 49ers played the Cardinals three weeks ago, and outgained them by 227 yards. A statistical beat down. The 49ers should have won, but didn’t because they committed five turnovers.
Shanahan still thinks football is all about gaining yards. It’s not. It’s about scoring points, and avoiding stupid penalties, sacks, fumbles and interceptions. If the 49ers continue to struggle in those areas every week, that’s Shanahan’s fault.
2. Shanahan still hasn’t figured out the first rule of winning.
This is the first rule of winning in the NFL: Don’t beat yourself.
In Shanahan’s two years with the 49ers, his team still has not cleared that hurdle. And it’s quite low. A mini hurdle. Every week, the Niners jump, clip their heels and fall face first.
Through seven games, the 49ers have committed 18 giveaways and forced only three turnovers. That’s a negative-15 turnover ratio. The NFL record is negative-30. The Niners are on pace for negative-34.
Cue the injury excuse.
It’s bogus. Every team has injuries. Of course, Garoppolo is injured, but the 49ers had a losing record this season with him. Remember that. The 49ers still must find ways to win. They find ways to lose every week with sloppy ball security and unforced penalties. They lack discipline and focus. Granted, they’re missing talented players, but all players can give their best effort. They don’t have to be superstars to hold onto the ball. Just hold onto the freaking ball.
Shanahan is in charge of developing and enforcing a standard of performance. He drives the message that turnovers are unacceptable. If his message doesn’t reach the players, someone else should deliver it.