4th Assembly district race a battle of 2 counties
Thanks to newly redrawn district boundaries, Napa County has a chance to put its first lawmaker in the state capitol in more than a generation.
The race to replace termed-out 4th District Assemblywoman Mariko Yamada, D-Davis, promises to be hotly contested, featuring family connections, Democrats going head-to-head and a scramble for campaign funds.
"Nobody from Napa County has won this seat in somewhere around 35 years," said Bill Dodd, a Napa County supervisor vying for Yamada's job. "Certainly now with the redistricting and with the open primary, it's a prime opportunity for me, or somebody like me, to get elected in this district," he said.
If Dodd, a former Republican, were to win he would become the first Napa-area politician to win a seat in the Legislature since 1980, when Assemblyman Mike Gage declined to seek re-election.
Until recently, Napa County was lumped in with much larger Santa Rosa and failed to gain political traction in the Assembly. It may have a better shot under new district lines drawn by California's voter-approved, independent commission.
The Assembly district once drawn for Davis Democrats now expands westward to include Napa County and pushes north through Lake County. The boundaries took effect in time for the 2012 elections.
Dodd has a tough road ahead, with strong contenders from Yamada's home turf. Davis-area politicians with local name recognition are in the running for the open Assembly seat.
Davis Mayor Joe Krovoza and Deputy Mayor Dan Wolk — the son of state Sen. Lois Wolk — are among five contenders competing in the June primary for Yamada's seat.
Yamada has not endorsed any candidate, although there was speculation early on that she would endorse Dan Wolk. He has received support from other legislators, including Senate leadership.
Meanwhile, Yamada has set up a campaign committee to run for Lois Wolk's seat in 2016 when she is termed out. Yamada has raised about $44,000.
The political maneuvering in Davis ultimately may play out across the district.
"Napa is bigger in name than it is in population," said Paul Mitchell, a political data expert and vice president of Political Data Inc. "People in France know Napa, but Napa itself is a rather small community and a county that doesn't have a lot of population.
"When you put it in with a city like Davis, you're going to have to expect that Davis, especially in a Democratic primary, is going to have more say than Napa."
Voter turnout in Napa County trailed Yolo by about 1.5 points in the 2012 primary, according to Political Data Inc., which markets detailed data packages for candidates and campaigns.
But data also suggest that Napa County is likely to lead in voter turnout for this June's primary election with 31.9 percent, compared with Yolo County's 28.8 percent, Mitchell said.
The seat is a safe one for Democrats, who maintain 45.7 percent of registered voters versus Republicans' 26.1 percent. The top-two primary system makes it all but certain that two Democrats will face off against each other in the November general election.
Mayor Krovoza, Deputy Mayor Wolk and Dodd are the three Democrats still competing in the June primary. Two Republican hopefuls include retired Marine Corps officer Charlie Schaupp and Dustin Call, a legislative aide to a Southern Californian assemblyman.